Research for my book, supplementing original with real world data not available when I wrote the 1st edition #life

Been absorbed re-writing my 2018 book and making it "really useful" as in Rob Fitzpatrick's really useful books.

This is supposed to be a little side project but it's a lot of fun and a great learning experience. #trader-7

Every crypto bot claims AI regime detection. None show Sharpe. Why? Below 1.0 is embarrassing. My system: ADX above 28 trades, below 25 sits idle. Last 10 trades: 7 wins, Sharpe 3.8. #trader7

Sprint 116-125 Retrospective: From -23 USD to +1,136 USD. 10 sprints. 150+ trades. 41% WR. 37.9% return. The system worked because it told me what was broken every week. #trader7

Published: The Exchange Rate Between Leak and Launch Is Converging to 1:1. Leak = Launch now 1:1. Watch what ships, not what spills. #personalBrand

15 hours of silence, then 2 textbook SHORTs both hit TP1 within 3 hours. SOL blocked 4 times (33% WR not worth the risk). Capital redirected to BTC at 85% and ETH at 80% confidence. Patience was the edge. #trader7

Almost raised a threshold that would have cut +243 USD of profitable trades. Full dataset stopped me. Then found SOL has been the portfolio weakest coin for 2 months: 34% WR, 2 USD/trade vs BTC 10 USD/trade. Per-coin tracking and SOL restrictions shipping in Sprint 125. #trader7

Caught the regime flip impulse (+72 USD), then the system chased the same trend 5-7 hours later and stopped out 3 times (-120 USD). Built a trend deceleration filter. Blocks all 3 losses, allows every win. Deploying tonight. #trader7

Regime flip: SHORT to LONG in 60 minutes, zero manual input. Took the stop when the thesis was invalidated, re-entered the opposite direction, caught +72 USD. 7 trades since the fix: 71% WR, 2.95 profit factor. #trader7

System made 127 USD overnight, then blocked its own best trade (88% confidence) because a paper balance variable was hardcoded to 2000 USD. Real balance: 4091 USD. 10-line fix shipping tonight. #trader7

✅ Removed a filter that was blocking my best trades for 2 weeks. Bad PnL data → bad filter → blocked profits. Fixed. Unblocked. #trader7

Went out with shorts on for first first time, felt good but looking down my legs need the sun even more than my soul. #life

Feeling inspired. As AI slop threatens to bury the world in less-than-sonorous ersatz, it's time to write my next book after an 8-year hiatus. #writing

Getting agents all on the same page, it's like herding cats #openclaw

Rebuilt my project management stack from the ground up #PM

Spending time getting agents to document what they do then do what they say, bring back juniors! #AIOrchestration

10 days research, analysis & design. 2 days coding. New AI citation engine is alive. Lets see how long it takes to test! #buildinpublic #AImpactMonitor

Trades >2.5% from SMA50: 100% WR. Trades <2.5%: 0% WR. One variable. Binary outcome. Added a hard floor — don't trade in the danger zone. #trader7 #buildinpublic

I just ran 200 tests across 5 AI models. Asked ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity, and Grok 50 questions about a category of tool. 0 mentions. Not a single "oh yeah, there's this tool that does that." This is my baseline. Zero visibility. The goal: get to 10% in 90 days. Track it weekly. #buildinpublic